Thursday 13 December 2012

What's It All About

There are basically two groups with lottery expertise:  
Those who play the lottery and those who disparage it.

The detractors will often claim to play in order to be 
welcomed into a group of players who would normally
be shunning them. 

The detractors will often attempt to curry favor by 
echoing common gripes among players, such as saying, 
"Most systems are worthless." 

In the final stage detractors may claim to have run
thousands of tests of systems against random numbers.
Proclaim all systems worthless. All wheels worthless.
That the only way to improve the odds of winning is
to buy more unique combinations. 

All of these statements are dishonest at the core. 

Even when a hard fought battle to educate detractors
is won, they are back the next day spouting the same
nonsense to newbies. Why? Because their identity and
self worth is stuck on "run others down" mode and we
are the area the detractor is fixated on. 

Are all systems worthless?  Really worthless beyond
broken clock is right twice a day kind of worthless?

Systems tend to fall into two groups. 

Those that are mathematically valid, but require a 
correct decision by the user, in order to work.
For example the: If you can pick one correct digit
you can win Pick-3 system, we've provided here. 

Those that stall the user in an endless loop of 
winning small prizes and losing them back, where 
winning a jackpot would take a miracle.  The 
purpose of this book is to help break the reader 
out of these traps. 

As for the occasional detractor who claims wheels
do nothing to help us win.  Unless such a person 
fell victim to split wheels, they are totally wrong.

Wheels do exactly what they are made to do, when they
are made properly.  When a wheel claims to provide at 
least one 4-number prize when all 6 winning numbers 
fall among the 12 played, that is exactly what is 
going to happen.  It is a mathematical certainty. 

"That's not what we meant." the detractor will cry.  
"We meant you can't buy a win at a profit with a 
wheel." 

Well of course, that's not how the lottery is prize
structured or everyone would be doing it. If the game
were fair, if all the money taken in were returned to
the players and the prize structure balanced, wheels
could, should or would break even. 

We use wheels because they not only guarantee some sort
of prize when their conditions are met, they can play
above their guarantee. In fact, when a wheel is tested
in CoverMaster, you know exactly what chance there is
of a higher prize being won under the same conditions.

What about all those tests against random numbers?

The lottery is only random enough to be a lottery game.
You're not going to find scientists using a lottery 
draw machine for their random number generator. For the
lottery to approach random the state lottery has to go 
out of their way to randomly rotate ballsets and machines 
or switch to player despised computer generated random 
number drawings. 

Well, aren't the detractors right when they say the only 
way to improve your odds is to buy more unique tickets?

This is a half truth. It is certainly equally true putting
more numbers into play on the same number of tickets (once
we've moved beyond buying one ticket) improves the odds of 
having winning numbers among them. 

It is also possible to improve the odds of one ticket winning
by the judicious selection of filters in its creation as we
will see in Win Your Lottery. 

You know, people tend to look for absolutes in things. A
strategy is not always a system. When a hunter waits along
the path to the water hole, that's a strategy based on
knowledge and observation.  We don't always know what will
come down the path. 

In conclusion: Don't let the ever present detractors get you
down, be they relative, co-worker or nameless entity in a 
chat group. They will never understand the difference between
an intelligent strategy based on learned behavior of the game
and what they read in a book about random numbers in a computer.
There is never a reason to tell them what you are doing, your
strategy or to explain why you play. Unless, that is, you've
gone off the deep end, losing the house, etc. then you have
a problem and need to visit . . .

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